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Elections in Germany, Why the CDU is wrong

Politics - February 24, 2025

The Revolution of common sense continues its long and unstoppable march through the West. It is a Revolution with a clearly reactionary sense, but that does not stop it from being revolutionary in the broadest sense of the word, as it does not seem to be satisfied with the mere recomposition of the disorders produced by progressivism, but openly and explicitly seeks the complete transformation of the order created after the Second and (perhaps even) the First World War. And it is reactionary for two reasons: first, because it is not utopian but realistic, which means going back to St Thomas Aquinas at the very least; and second, because it seeks to reconquer the political and social order that made the West the civilised and civilising Civilisation, which is a lot to recover and is a perfect reaction.

Elections yesterday in Germany. Despite being predicted by the polls, the political earthquake derived from the results has been or is going to be minor. The liberals, who caused the fall of the coalition government with the socialists and greens, have been penalised. They are disappearing. It is the highest penalty for a politician, or a party, because to disappear is practically to die, and to start again; much worse than starting from scratch. And especially if you defend ideas and principles that go against the revolution itself that is taking place. We can consider them written off. It happened in Spain, in just under three years. Those ‘liberals’, who are really ‘progressives’; that is, liberals in moral and social terms and social democrats in economic terms, have managed Germany and the European Union for years, decades. Their fall in Germany – prior to the disappearance in Spain and the poor result of the last European elections in June 2024 – heralds their virtual disappearance across the continent.

The Socialists fall to their worst numbers after the bombing of Dresden and Berlin. These do not and will not generally disappear in the short term. It is impossible for them to disappear if in Berlin’s Alexander Platz, Marx and Engels have a statue that shines and the whole city is a reminder of the Reds, the rapes of German women, the distribution of individual property for those of the politburo, expropriations, planning, the gulag, the chekas, gender ideology, the degradation of education, stale egalitarianism, the secret police and their beatings, abortion, the destruction of the family; more planning, more gulag, more chekas.

But the thud has been phenomenal and it is something that should make any patriot or conservative happy.

The Christian Democrats and the Social Christians of Bavaria are holding their own; they are growing somewhat, by that route of communicating vessels that has politically destroyed Europe and by virtue of which a not inconsiderable percentage of socialist and ‘popular’ voters are interchangeable when warnings of fear of a real ‘right’, with convictions and principles, are issued. But they are not capable of absorbing the virtual disappearance of the ‘liberals’, which demonstrates what was pointed out above: that the so-called ‘liberal parties’ are openly closer to the positions of the left. Mertz will govern with the Socialists, and presumably the Greens, who are falling, but are the ones who suffer the least from the last coalition government. Curious. Incoherence in politics has its price, but not always or entirely.

It is indisputable that the repeated interest of the CDU leader – on the campaign trail and on election night itself – in making it clear that he will not govern with the sovereigntist right of Alternative for Germany, shows that the European People’s Party is not going to easily accept the Italian model. In reality, the Italian model of a right-wing coalition is due to two reasons: on the one hand, Italian political tradition; and on the other, perhaps more importantly, the fact that the most centrist force (that of the European People’s Party) is in the minority in the coalition. Germany thus joins the Austrian model, or the Polish model; which consists of consecrating the famous cordon sanitaire to right-wing, sovereignist, patriotic or conservative forces, making pacts with socialists, greens, liberals or communists, whatever.

A warning for those countries that find themselves in similar circumstances; particularly Spain, where the polls also indicate that the significant growth of VOX (which is once again above 14%) since the last general elections, would more than allow for a government of the Partido Popular and Santiago Abascal. A bad sign is given by the European People’s Party, which will not be able to maintain this permanent balancing act for much longer; negotiating posts of power, representation and government with the left and deceiving voters, through the crude system of copying the proposals of the patriots or conservatives in the campaign to attract a vote that it then systematically betrays by negotiating with its adversaries.

And the big winner has a woman’s name: Alice Weidel. The victorious party is clearly Alternative for Germany, which doubles its results, exceeds the psychological threshold of twenty percent and becomes the second most voted force in all of Germany, and the first in the former German Democratic Republic or East Germany. It is obvious, looking at the results, that the only party that has correctly interpreted the new social and political reality in Europe is Alternative. And the shift to the centre made by Alice Weidel puts this party on the path of the Revolution of Common Sense: a strong immigration and security policy, a firm commitment to the real and productive economy, rejection of environmental fanaticism and fierce criticism of the mistakes and orientations of the bureaucracies in Brussels.

Alternative for Germany had the public and enthusiastic support of Elon Musk. And that connects a new transatlantic alliance; the alliance of common sense, of the rejection of ‘woke’ policies, of subsidised economy and of energy and industrial dependence on powers such as Russia or China, which is what the policies of Brussels have condemned a large part of the European economy to.

Today we woke up to the news in the Financial Times that Albares, the foreign minister of the Spanish prime minister, Pedro Sánchez, has asked the European Union to forge a political alliance with Communist China, without the United States. I fear that this is a very serious temptation that is already in the corridors of Brussels and in the offices of the commissioners. And it’s not because of Ukraine (Spain is the main European buyer of gas from Russia, and the second in the world, so it is financing Putin’s war effort); it is precisely because the Trump administration has cut off USAID, UNRWA, and those international agencies that have only served to enrich a caste of bureaucrats and to spread woke and socialist policies.

The European Union is at a terrible crossroads. The future of Europe will be decided in a few months. The agreement between the CDU and the socialists and greens, which would reproduce the agreement apparently reached in Austria, is a very bad precedent. Europe cannot ally itself with China to fight the United States. That would be the definitive betrayal of the Western world; a war to the death of large spaces where we will end up ruined, our companies and families.
The European People’s Party has the choice in its hands. And they have to decide. Either they can make up for the lost decades or they can continue walking towards the economic and cultural abyss.