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Venezuela: Will It Be Civil War?

Politics - August 12, 2024

‘To the Italian government and Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni I ask this, that they support us in the process we are carrying out so that sovereignty is respected and Venezuela can, at last, be at peace’. This is the appeal made by Williams Davila, Venezuelan politician and member of the Venezuelan National Assembly for the Democratic Action party, to Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni via Adnkronos.
In the South American country, meanwhile, protests and polemics have not subsided after the outcome of the last elections.
The opposition in Venezuela continues to vigorously contest the victory proclaimed by Nicolas Maduro in the recent presidential elections, and it does so on the basis of the reports drawn up in the polling stations that, according to reports, provide data that are completely different from those declared by Maduro and his people. Meanwhile, at least 24 people have died in the repression of street protests following the elections.
It is an explosive situation, to say the least, which will certainly not end with a ‘handshake’ and which is leading Venezuela towards an isolation, if possible even greater than at present.
That Maduro was more of a dictator than a president of a democratic state had long been apparent. A country where opponents were persecuted, where protests ended in blood at the hands of presidential soldiers, and where poverty and crime are now at unbearable levels.
A situation that has been denounced for years by both much of the international community and the opposition party Democratic Action.
The images of thousands and thousands of Venezuelans who fled to neighbouring countries returning home to vote for Edmundo González Urrutia, Maduro’s opposing candidate, have gone around the world.
Unfortunately, it seems that all this was not enough to ensure that the elections had the desired outcome, or rather that they were conducted in a transparent manner.
And while the battle rages on social media and newspapers, while the international community raises its voice, Venezuelans are preparing for an anti-Chavismo demonstration that would see for the first time the anti-Maduro Venezuelan right wing unite with the anti-Maduro Venezuelan left wing.
A demonstration that unfortunately seems to be the prologue to a civil war.
Because one thing seems to be certain: Maduro will not give in and the army, which flanks him and at times overpowers him if we consider that nine government ministers are part of the army, is ready to ensure that the status quo will not be shaken. And certainly not even the appeals of Lula, of the former Argentine premier Cristina Kirchner, whom Maduro himself supported politically and financially, and of the Colombian president, who was also supported at the time by the Venezuelan president, will suffice.
Maduro does not want to and cannot leave the leadership of Venezuela; if he did, it would be almost impossible for him to escape jail for long due to the list of crimes he may be accused of in his homeland and the investigations of the US narcotics agency. And he, like others in the past, is refusing any opening by making an axis with his ally Cuba, which seems to have been commanding the Venezuelan security services for years.
And that is why he tries in every way possible to legitimise his victory by crying international conspiracy, the usual coup d’état, obviously ‘extreme right-wing’. in which he involves the various tycoons from Elon Musk to Jeff Bezos in a trite rhetoric useful to unleash the war against dissent The method is always that of Soviet-style communism: denunciation. All militants have been asked to denounce the names and surnames of acquaintances who participate in opposition demonstrations and spread criticism of the regime online.
In short, a film we have already seen, which unfortunately is not being shown in a cinema but is taking place in a real country, a country that will most likely see the blood of its inhabitants flowing shortly.